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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Bruv123win 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Bruv123

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
seimei · 5 games
80%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Se · 3 games
67%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
seimei · 3 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Palos · 3 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Se · 3 games
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 3 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 3 games
33%

BOOM Esports

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 23 games
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 21 game
57%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Sacred · 19 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 19 games
32%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 17 games
35%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 16 games
38%
Sven
Svensignature
Pakazs · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
360 picks · 350 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
357 picks · 406 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 508 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
289 picks · 258 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 379 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 464 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Bruv123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:11
Bruv123 37%BOOM Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Bruv123 in 42:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckBob
56% · 179 games53% · 177 games
WindrangerGhost
Windranger
Monkey King
Monkey King423
52% · 159 games48% · 210 games
Dragon KnightMac
Dragon Knight
Kunkka
Kunkkaseimei
51% · 191 game53% · 58 games
Sand KingFbz
Sand King
Enchantress
EnchantressSe
44% · 300 games44% · 218 games
HoodwinkTims
Hoodwink
50% · 166 games
ClockwerkDJ
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct8:18
Bruv123 38%BOOM Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 35:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainBob
50% · 90 games56% · 47 games
Shadow FiendGhost
Shadow Fiend
Razor
Razor423
45% · 167 games54% · 158 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerseimei
50% · 365 games51% · 273 games
PangolierMac
Pangolier
Tusk
TuskSe
43% · 180 games54% · 135 games
ClockwerkDJ
Clockwerk
52% · 189 games
Shadow DemonTims
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction missed36:12
Bruv123 40%BOOM Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Bruv123 in 49:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmother423
47% · 35 games44% · 121 game
LinaGhost
Lina
Doom
Doomseimei
56% · 176 games46% · 153 games
Templar AssassinMac
Templar Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierBob
47% · 275 games52% · 211 games
MarsFbz
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSe
54% · 230 games54% · 99 games
SniperTims
Sniper
46% · 132 games
TuskDJ
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 70%
Series resultBruv123 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3