BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cuyes Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Cuyes Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 10 games
Jakiro
Mjz · 6 games
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Broodmotheroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
358 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
346 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 507 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
286 picks · 257 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 372 bans
Dragon Knight
269 picks · 460 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:32
beastcoast 40%Cuyes Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 30:01.
Game 2prediction correct17:38
beastcoast 40%Cuyes Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 37:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 60%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2