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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
REKONIXwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 15 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 10 games
70%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
38%

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 24 games
42%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 19 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 17 games
53%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
499 picks · 277 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
495 picks · 583 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
470 picks · 393 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
411 picks · 575 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
349 picks · 943 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
337 picks · 880 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 283 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total62% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:23
Execration 45%REKONIX 55%
The model gave 55% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 39:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverAkashi
51% · 157 games55% · 77 games
JuggernautTraVins
Juggernaut
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritBob
54% · 455 games45% · 155 games
BrewmasterFbz
Brewmaster
Underlord
UnderlordTino-
51% · 266 games44% · 404 games
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
Storm Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerShanks
55% · 220 games40% · 79 games
LichVarizh
Lich
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorcml
63% · 120 games43% · 503 games
Tuskdalul
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct32:48
Execration 47%REKONIX 53%
The model gave 53% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 49:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerAkashi
53% · 244 games46% · 214 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Doom
DoomTino-
54% · 211 games48% · 430 games
TinyTraVins
Tiny
Pangolier
PangolierBob
50% · 323 games45% · 233 games
SnapfireinYourdreaM
Snapfire
Rubick
RubickShanks
47% · 215 games49% · 113 games
LichVarizh
Lich
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorcml
64% · 134 games46% · 137 games
Liondalul
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 62%
Series resultREKONIX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2