BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Essenceloss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kukuyswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Essence
No games played over 6 months.
Kukuys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 509 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 253 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 360 bans
Phoenix
267 picks · 472 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Team Essence
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:27
Team Essence 21%Kukuys 79%
The model gave 79% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 33:53.
Game 2prediction correct8:39
Team Essence 21%Kukuys 79%
The model gave 79% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 28:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 79%
Series resultKukuys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2