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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
56%
Razor
Razoroften banned
CHYuan · 14 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Akashi · 13 games
31%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
CHYuan · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ws · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jhocam · 10 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Ponyo · 9 games
56%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
CHYuan · 9 games
44%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 404 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 509 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
281 picks · 253 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 360 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
267 picks · 472 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:19
Talon Esports 62%Yangon Galacticos 38%
The model gave 62% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 43:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistAkashi
39% · 50 games53% · 94 games
Monkey KingKsh
Monkey King
Sniper
SniperMikoto
45% · 45 games51% · 171 game
PuckYoung PH
Puck
Enigma
EnigmaWs
60% · 44 games
Tusk
TuskJhocam
47% · 61 game
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKuku
49% · 65 games
Game 2prediction correct23:11
Talon Esports 65%Yangon Galacticos 35%
The model gave 65% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 27:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaAkashi
55% · 50 games54% · 128 games
Nature's ProphetKsh
Nature's Prophet
Puck
PuckMikoto
50% · 73 games45% · 93 games
Void SpiritYoung PH
Void Spirit
Kunkka
KunkkaWs
45% · 44 games
Windranger
WindrangerJhocam
50% · 48 games
Omniknight
OmniknightKuku
50% · 6 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 76%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2