BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Apex Genesiswin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FSFree Stackloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Apex Genesis
Phoenixoften banned
YamSun · 11 games
Rubick
Bignum · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Speeed · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sammyboy · 7 games
Crystal Maidensignature
YamSun · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
Free Stack
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 402 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 509 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 253 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 360 bans
Phoenix
267 picks · 471 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Apex Genesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Apex Genesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Apex Genesis 74%Free Stack 26%
The model gave 74% on Apex Genesis — the game was taken by Apex Genesis.
Game 2prediction correct
Apex Genesis 74%Free Stack 26%
The model gave 74% on Apex Genesis — the game was taken by Apex Genesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteApex Genesis · 74%
Series resultApex Genesis 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2