BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTGthe goal of all life is deathloss 1:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Evil Rabbitwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
the goal of all life is death
No games played over 6 months.
Evil Rabbit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 514 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 474 bans
Windranger
274 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% the goal of all life is death
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total66% Evil Rabbit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:26
the goal of all life is death 34%Evil Rabbit 66%
The model gave 66% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 27:02.
Game 2prediction missed
the goal of all life is death 34%Evil Rabbit 66%
The model gave 66% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death.
Game 3prediction correct10:30
the goal of all life is death 34%Evil Rabbit 66%
The model gave 66% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 21:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Rabbit · 66%
Series resultEvil Rabbit 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3