BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nightshadewin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BBociarnialoss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nightshade
Elder Titan
Kyzko · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ri4man · 3 games
Jakiro
jmn- · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ri4man · 2 games
Tusk
Kyzko · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Bociarnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
365 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 517 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 478 bans
Windranger
277 picks · 350 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Bociarnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Bociarnia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nightshade 48%Bociarnia 52%
The model gave 52% on Bociarnia — the game was taken by Nightshade.
Model check result
Model favoriteBociarnia · 52%
Series resultNightshade 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1