RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
Dragon Knightoften banned
MTD · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
MTD · 1 game
One Move
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 15 games
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 15 games
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
Rein · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
370 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
329 picks · 520 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 486 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 346 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:33
HAVU Gaming 12%One Move 88%
The model gave 88% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 21:56.
Game 2prediction correct4:31
HAVU Gaming 12%One Move 88%
The model gave 88% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 19:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 88%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2