BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionVvengaboyzloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dragon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
vengaboyz
No games played over 6 months.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 11 games
Ursaoften banned
paw · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
Broodmotheroften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 7 games
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
370 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
360 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 522 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 489 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 346 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 23%
Hero pool strength58% vengaboyz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% vengaboyz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
vengaboyz 60%Dragon Esports 40%
The model gave 60% on vengaboyz — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
vengaboyz 60%Dragon Esports 40%
The model gave 60% on vengaboyz — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoritevengaboyz · 60%
Series resultDragon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2