RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
TT Teamloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Passion UAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Passion UA
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 9 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 9 games
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 8 games
Snapfire
Fernans · 8 games
Jakiro
Fernans · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
370 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
360 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 522 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 489 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 346 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TT Team 29%Passion UA 71%
The model gave 71% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
TT Team 29%Passion UA 71%
The model gave 71% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 71%
Series resultPassion UA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2