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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
the goal of all life is deathloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Evil Rabbitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

the goal of all life is death

No games played over 6 months.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
67%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
362 picks · 404 bans
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 521 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
290 picks · 494 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 345 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
279 picks · 596 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% the goal of all life is death
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Evil Rabbit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:26
the goal of all life is death 37%Evil Rabbit 63%
The model gave 63% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 30:43.
Game 2prediction correct23:29
the goal of all life is death 37%Evil Rabbit 63%
The model gave 63% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 47:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Rabbit · 63%
Series resultEvil Rabbit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2