BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Cuyes Esportswin 1:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NNNuma Numa leiloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cuyes Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 10 games
Jakiro
Mjz · 6 games
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Broodmotheroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
Numa Numa lei
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 524 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
290 picks · 497 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 345 bans
Ember Spirit
280 picks · 597 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 91%Numa Numa lei 9%
The model gave 91% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 91%
Series resultCuyes Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1