Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostikfacekid Clubloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TpaBoMaH Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostikfacekid Club
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 377 bans
Rubick
498 picks · 276 bans
Phoenix
493 picks · 582 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
411 picks · 568 bans
Puck
345 picks · 942 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 874 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Rostikfacekid Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Rostikfacekid Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rostikfacekid Club 61%TpaBoMaH Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Game 2prediction missed
Rostikfacekid Club 61%TpaBoMaH Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostikfacekid Club · 61%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Club 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2