BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTETK Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Essencewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TK Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Team Essence
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
377 picks · 359 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
336 picks · 528 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
292 picks · 507 bans
Ember Spirit
284 picks · 596 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 341 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% TK Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% TK Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TK Esports 51%Team Essence 49%
The model gave 51% on TK Esports — the game was taken by Team Essence.
Model check result
Model favoriteTK Esports · 51%
Series resultTeam Essence 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1