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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 64 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 58 games
62%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 56 games
66%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 48 games
73%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 45 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 37 games
65%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 32 games
75%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 26 games
58%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 21 game
76%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
604 picks · 377 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
498 picks · 273 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
493 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 390 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
408 picks · 567 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 935 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 872 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
333 picks · 282 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total62% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:38
Aurora Gaming 56%Team Yandex 44%
The model gave 56% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:01:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
53% · 295 games52% · 258 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMikoto
45% · 411 games52% · 489 games
SlardarDM
Slardar
Axe
AxeWs
50% · 279 games53% · 452 games
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressKaori
49% · 224 games53% · 432 games
SnapfireSaksa
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMira
49% · 636 games43% · 214 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed30:32
Aurora Gaming 59%Team Yandex 41%
The model gave 59% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 47:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaNightfall
53% · 267 games55% · 339 games
TinyWatson
Tiny
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMikoto
45% · 287 games56% · 154 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Axe
AxeWs
50% · 198 games47% · 204 games
TimbersawDM
Timbersaw
Enchantress
EnchantressKaori
45% · 169 games54% · 292 games
SnapfireSaksa
Snapfire
Lion
LionMira
44% · 116 games50% · 48 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 62%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2