The International 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 23 games
Sniper
Quinn · 23 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 19 games
Broodmothersignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 17 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 16 games
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 16 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
413 picks · 376 bans
Hoodwink
384 picks · 426 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 539 bans
Jakiro
347 picks · 256 bans
Weaver
332 picks · 725 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 638 bans
Phoenix
315 picks · 616 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 731 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total78% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:6
Gaimin Gladiators 78%G2 Invictus Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:00.
Game 2prediction missed14:16
Gaimin Gladiators 78%G2 Invictus Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 40:00.
Game 3prediction correct26:8
Gaimin Gladiators 78%G2 Invictus Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 78%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3