The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Tundra Esports
Rubicksignature
9Class · 38 games
Techiessignature
Whitemon · 33 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 28 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 26 games
Snipersignature
Topson · 26 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 23 games
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
410 picks · 379 bans
Hoodwink
385 picks · 427 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 537 bans
Jakiro
345 picks · 256 bans
Weaver
335 picks · 741 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 753 bans
Phoenix
310 picks · 644 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:19
G2 Invictus Gaming 42%Tundra Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:27.
Game 2prediction correct12:26
G2 Invictus Gaming 42%Tundra Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 43:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2