The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 29 games
Doomsignature
33 · 29 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 26 games
Rubick
Boxi · 26 games
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 24 games
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
410 picks · 380 bans
Hoodwink
383 picks · 428 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 535 bans
Jakiro
344 picks · 256 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 747 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 644 bans
Tiny
314 picks · 757 bans
Phoenix
311 picks · 649 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total88% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:16
Team Liquid 88%beastcoast 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:27.
Game 2prediction correct33:13
Team Liquid 88%beastcoast 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 88%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2