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The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Zerowin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 21 game
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 21 game
67%
Mirana
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 18 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 17 games
41%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
47%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nightfall · 15 games
40%

Team Zero

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
57%
Mirana
Miranasignature
zzq · 13 games
77%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
7e · 13 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 12 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7e · 12 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
BEYOND · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Ponlo · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
410 picks · 380 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
383 picks · 428 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 535 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
343 picks · 256 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
334 picks · 747 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 644 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 757 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
311 picks · 649 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:37
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Team Zero 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Zero in 42:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistNightfall
47% · 118 games56% · 176 games
Windrangerpoyoyo
Windranger
Puck
PuckgpK~
51% · 184 games42% · 64 games
Earth Spirit7e
Earth Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
51% · 241 game47% · 154 games
KunkkaBEYOND
Kunkka
Jakiro
JakiroTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 116 games46% · 133 games
SnapfirePonlo
Snapfire
Sniper
SniperSave-
52% · 75 games56% · 207 games
Batriderzzq
Batrider
Game 2prediction missed14:29
BETBOOM TEAM 73%Team Zero 27%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Zero in 30:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNightfall
54% · 186 games51% · 164 games
Miranapoyoyo
Mirana
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
41% · 145 games57% · 152 games
Keeper of the Light7e
Keeper of the Light
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
51% · 265 games49% · 244 games
KunkkaBEYOND
Kunkka
Snapfire
SnapfireSave-
47% · 77 games49% · 55 games
Nyx Assassinzzq
Nyx Assassin
Batrider
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 231 game51% · 289 games
Shadow DemonPonlo
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 89%
Series resultTeam Zero 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2