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The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 23 games
78%
Sniper
Sniper
Quinn · 20 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
83%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 17 games
76%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
76%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
63%

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 36 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 32 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 28 games
68%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 28 games
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 27 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 22 games
68%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 22 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 21 game
76%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 375 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
383 picks · 429 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 530 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 749 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
319 picks · 768 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
318 picks · 642 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
309 picks · 658 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 68%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:21
Gaimin Gladiators 63%1w Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightdyrachyo
45% · 301 game47% · 90 games
Nature's ProphetChira JUNIOR
Nature's Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
49% · 79 games52% · 274 games
SvenMunkushi~
Sven
Slardar
SlardarAce
52% · 135 games50% · 259 games
Primal BeastCloud
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSeleri
54% · 150 games53% · 224 games
Weaverswedenstrong
Weaver
Rubick
RubicktOfu
48% · 401 game49% · 219 games
EnchantressRESPECT
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct35:11
Gaimin Gladiators 61%1w Team 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistdyrachyo
53% · 96 games44% · 122 games
RazorMunkushi~
Razor
Windranger
WindrangerQuinn
49% · 196 games54% · 173 games
Primal BeastChira JUNIOR
Primal Beast
Kunkka
KunkkaAce
46% · 173 games54% · 92 games
EnigmaCloud
Enigma
Sniper
SnipertOfu
55% · 69 games49% · 83 games
Marciswedenstrong
Marci
Jakiro
JakiroSeleri
45% · 118 games51% · 182 games
EnchantressRESPECT
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 75%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2