CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 33 games
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 29 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 29 games
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 29 games
Crystal Maiden
RESPECT · 22 games
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 21 game
Batrideroften banned
RESPECT · 20 games
Passion UA
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 9 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 7 games
Jakiro
Fernans · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
Batyuk · 7 games
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 5 games
Chenoften banned
flacko · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 379 bans
Hoodwink
394 picks · 447 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 823 bans
Tiny
382 picks · 864 bans
Phoenix
367 picks · 759 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 520 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 507 bans
Jakiro
337 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 54%
Hero pool strength59% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
1w Team 75%Passion UA 25%
The model gave 75% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 36:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerMunkushi~
Troll Warlordyowaai
AxeCloud
Sand KingBatyuk
EarthshakerChira JUNIOR
Mirananiche
SvenRESPECT
SnapfireFernans
Shadow Demonswedenstrong
Clockwerkflacko
Game 2prediction correct15:3
1w Team 76%Passion UA 24%
The model gave 76% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 25:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenMunkushi~
Morphlingyowaai
BeastmasterCloud
Queen of Painniche
ViperChira JUNIOR
MarsBatyuk
Earthshakerswedenstrong
Naga Sirenflacko
Shadow DemonRESPECT
SniperFernans
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 89%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2