FONBET Кубок России 2024 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionHEHighq Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PAPAYA TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Highq Esports
No games played over 6 months.
PAPAYA TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 374 bans
Hoodwink
395 picks · 448 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 822 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 867 bans
Phoenix
369 picks · 764 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 513 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 506 bans
Jakiro
334 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Highq Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% PAPAYA TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:38
Highq Esports 44%PAPAYA TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on PAPAYA TEAM — the game was taken by PAPAYA TEAM in 30:47.
Game 2prediction correct29:14
Highq Esports 44%PAPAYA TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on PAPAYA TEAM — the game was taken by PAPAYA TEAM in 22:05.
Model check result
Model favoritePAPAYA TEAM · 56%
Series resultPAPAYA TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2