FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 30 games
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 27 games
Rubick
Mira · 27 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Mira · 26 games
Primal Beastsignature
Collapse · 23 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Collapse · 21 game
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 20 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 27 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 22 games
Svenoften banned
Nightfall · 18 games
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
440 picks · 372 bans
Hoodwink
398 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 867 bans
Weaver
386 picks · 822 bans
Phoenix
368 picks · 767 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 505 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 506 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 251 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:15
Team Spirit 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverYatoro
UrsaNightfall
InvokerLarl
WindrangergpK~
Sand KingCollapse
Primal BeastMieRo
Dark WillowMira
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
OmniknightMiposhka
LionSave-
Game 2prediction correct26:23
Team Spirit 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 40:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverYatoro
Chaos KnightNightfall
TinyLarl
PuckgpK~
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
MarsMieRo
SnapfireMira
JakiroTORONTOTOKYO
Elder TitanMiposhka
Shadow DemonSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 56%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2