FONBET Кубок России 2024 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionHEHighq Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NNoImprovewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Highq Esports
No games played over 6 months.
NoImprove
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
440 picks · 371 bans
Hoodwink
398 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 870 bans
Weaver
386 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 767 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 505 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 506 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 249 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Highq Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Highq Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:19
Highq Esports 57%NoImprove 43%
The model gave 57% on Highq Esports — the game was taken by NoImprove in 36:11.
Game 2prediction missed41:17
Highq Esports 57%NoImprove 43%
The model gave 57% on Highq Esports — the game was taken by NoImprove in 30:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteHighq Esports · 57%
Series resultNoImprove 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2