CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionPPantheonloss 0:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
V1dar Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pantheon
No games played over 6 months.
V1dar Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
440 picks · 371 bans
Hoodwink
398 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 870 bans
Weaver
385 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 767 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 504 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 505 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 249 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 28%
Hero pool strength56% Pantheon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Pantheon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Pantheon 58%V1dar Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on Pantheon — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoritePantheon · 58%
Series resultV1dar Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1