CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
AVULUSwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VVrooomy.ioloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AVULUS
Phoenixoften banned
SoNNeikO · 5 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Stormstormer · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
SoNNeikO · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
Xibbe · 4 games
Huskaroften banned
Stormstormer · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Stormstormer · 4 games
Windrangeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 4 games
Vrooomy.io
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
438 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
399 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 873 bans
Weaver
384 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 767 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 502 bans
Clockwerk
336 picks · 505 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 249 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 64%
Hero pool strength61% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% AVULUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
AVULUS 73%Vrooomy.io 27%
The model gave 73% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS.
Game 2prediction correct
AVULUS 73%Vrooomy.io 27%
The model gave 73% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteAVULUS · 73%
Series resultAVULUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2