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FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 23 games
78%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 23 games
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 21 game
76%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 21 game
71%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
dyrachyo · 18 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 18 games
56%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
76%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
70%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 20 games
55%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nightfall · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 16 games
38%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 370 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
399 picks · 447 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
387 picks · 874 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
383 picks · 823 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 498 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
335 picks · 505 bans
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
330 picks · 248 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total68% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:29
Gaimin Gladiators 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weaverdyrachyo
61% · 190 games50% · 250 games
SvenNightfall
Sven
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAce
53% · 246 games47% · 181 game
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
51% · 187 games45% · 190 games
WindrangergpK~
Windranger
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemontOfu
51% · 189 games47% · 130 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSeleri
49% · 78 games46% · 139 games
JakiroTORONTOTOKYO
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct30:15
Gaimin Gladiators 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
49% · 43 games36% · 58 games
RazorNightfall
Razor
Ursa
Ursadyrachyo
54% · 82 games57% · 77 games
Sand KinggpK~
Sand King
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
53% · 85 games51% · 50 games
EnigmaMieRo
Enigma
Sniper
SnipertOfu
50% · 39 games54% · 44 games
IoTORONTOTOKYO
Io
Jakiro
JakiroSeleri
47% · 81 game49% · 101 game
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Game 3prediction missed5:25
Gaimin Gladiators 58%BETBOOM TEAM 42%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
42% · 157 games52% · 127 games
RazorNightfall
Razor
Earthshaker
EarthshakerQuinn
57% · 87 games44% · 152 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
45% · 131 game52% · 105 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Sniper
SnipertOfu
56% · 69 games54% · 122 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSeleri
47% · 103 games56% · 41 game
IoTORONTOTOKYO
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3