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CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Lion
Lionsignature
Riddys · 29 games
66%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 22 games
59%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
65%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 20 games
60%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Daze · 19 games
63%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
63%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Daze · 14 games
57%

Dragon Esports

Ursa
Ursaoften banned
paw · 11 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
30%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 7 games
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 7 games
43%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
14%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 370 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
402 picks · 447 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
388 picks · 875 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
383 picks · 825 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 501 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
335 picks · 506 bans
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
330 picks · 248 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 24%
Hero pool strength63% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total84% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Natus Vincere Junior 84%Dragon Esports 16%
The model gave 84% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Game 2prediction correct
Natus Vincere Junior 84%Dragon Esports 16%
The model gave 84% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 84%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2