CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VVrooomy.iowin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dragon Esports
Ursaoften banned
paw · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 7 games
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
Vrooomy.io
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
442 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 457 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 880 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 833 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 525 bans
Clockwerk
340 picks · 508 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Vrooomy.io
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Vrooomy.io
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dragon Esports 31%Vrooomy.io 69%
The model gave 69% on Vrooomy.io — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io.
Game 2prediction correct
Dragon Esports 31%Vrooomy.io 69%
The model gave 69% on Vrooomy.io — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io.
Model check result
Model favoriteVrooomy.io · 69%
Series resultVrooomy.io 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2