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CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
DMSwin 2:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DMS

Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
mellojul · 4 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 4 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
prblms · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 3 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Daxak · 3 games
33%

Natus Vincere Junior

Lion
Lionsignature
Riddys · 29 games
66%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 22 games
59%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
65%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 20 games
60%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Daze · 19 games
63%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
63%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Daze · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
441 picks · 368 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
415 picks · 458 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
391 picks · 880 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
389 picks · 834 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
361 picks · 529 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 510 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 636 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
DMS 37%Natus Vincere Junior 63%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by DMS.
Game 2prediction correct
DMS 37%Natus Vincere Junior 63%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Game 3prediction missed
DMS 37%Natus Vincere Junior 63%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by DMS.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 63%
Series resultDMS 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3