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CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Passion UAwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V1dar Gaming

Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 2 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 2 games
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Difference · 1 game
0%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Difference · 1 game
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 1 game
0%

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
niche · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 7 games
14%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Batyuk · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 6 games
83%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 5 games
20%
Chen
Chenoften banned
flacko · 5 games
80%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
440 picks · 368 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
421 picks · 462 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 879 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
389 picks · 837 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 537 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 512 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 634 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
V1dar Gaming 17%Passion UA 83%
The model gave 83% on Passion UA — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
V1dar Gaming 17%Passion UA 83%
The model gave 83% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 3prediction correct
V1dar Gaming 17%Passion UA 83%
The model gave 83% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 83%
Series resultPassion UA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3