FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
1w Team
Windrangeroften banned
Munkushi~ · 32 games
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 29 games
Rubicksignature
swedenstrong · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 27 games
Crystal Maiden
RESPECT · 22 games
Batrideroften banned
RESPECT · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
439 picks · 368 bans
Hoodwink
421 picks · 462 bans
Weaver
389 picks · 837 bans
Tiny
388 picks · 879 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 536 bans
Clockwerk
343 picks · 511 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 633 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 43%1w Team 57%
The model gave 57% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 1:13:59.
Game 2prediction correct29:9
G2 Invictus Gaming 43%1w Team 57%
The model gave 57% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 31:29.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 57%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2