FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Hoodwinksignature
OmaR · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Malik · 28 games
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 26 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
No!ob · 25 games
Tinysignature
No!ob · 24 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 23 games
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dukalis · 17 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
435 picks · 367 bans
Hoodwink
423 picks · 462 bans
Weaver
389 picks · 839 bans
Tiny
387 picks · 874 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 535 bans
Clockwerk
340 picks · 510 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 627 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:28
PSG Quest 63%G2 Invictus Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 26:44.
Game 2prediction missed39:34
PSG Quest 63%G2 Invictus Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 57:15.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 63%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2