Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SStormrageloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 25 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
Warlock
Speeed · 21 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 19 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 19 games
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 18 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 17 games
Stormrage
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
601 picks · 374 bans
Rubick
494 picks · 268 bans
Phoenix
493 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
404 picks · 560 bans
Puck
341 picks · 926 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 858 bans
Tusk
330 picks · 280 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:3
GamerLegion 85%Stormrage 15%
The model gave 85% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 19:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AxeFayde
TerrorbladeDM
Drow RangerGhost
SlardarRobo-Z
KezRCY
LionN1NE
BaneBignum
TuskSpeeed
Game 2prediction correct25:5
GamerLegion 85%Stormrage 15%
The model gave 85% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 16:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
HuskarRCY
Queen of PainRobo-Z
Monkey KingGhost
TinyDM
LargoFayde
RubickN1NE
Keeper of the LightBignum
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 97%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2