PGL Wallachia Season 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
No games played over 6 months.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
434 picks · 368 bans
Hoodwink
424 picks · 461 bans
Weaver
390 picks · 837 bans
Tiny
385 picks · 868 bans
Phoenix
371 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 531 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 507 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 617 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Looking for Org 50%beastcoast 50%
The model gave 50% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Game 2prediction missed
Looking for Org 50%beastcoast 50%
The model gave 50% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 50%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2