PGL Wallachia Season 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:1series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LFLooking for Orgloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Techies
Hyko · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 9 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Demon · 6 games
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
Looking for Org
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
434 picks · 364 bans
Hoodwink
420 picks · 459 bans
Weaver
390 picks · 838 bans
Tiny
384 picks · 867 bans
Phoenix
371 picks · 765 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 532 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 508 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 610 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Infinity Esports 28%Looking for Org 72%
The model gave 72% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Game 2prediction missed
Infinity Esports 28%Looking for Org 72%
The model gave 72% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 3prediction missed
Infinity Esports 28%Looking for Org 72%
The model gave 72% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 72%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3