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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Direbornwin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mentality Monsterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Direborn

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Juju · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Juju · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
woMy · 1 game
0%

Mentality Monster

Silencer
Silencer
Juju · 2 games
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Cije · 1 game
100%
Luna
Luna
Cije · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
OneJey · 1 game
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 1 game
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
600 picks · 367 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
487 picks · 262 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
403 picks · 553 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
338 picks · 915 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 846 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
325 picks · 276 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Mentality Monster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed58:34
Direborn 35%Mentality Monster 65%
The model gave 65% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Direborn in 1:04:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezdb-
47% · 166 games63% · 21 game
Drow RangerCije
Drow Ranger
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerwoMy
46% · 161 game53% · 92 games
Timbersawegxrdemxn
Timbersaw
Silencer
SilencerPlayHard
46% · 115 games51% · 48 games
ViperGaN-
Viper
47% · 115 games
RubickOneJey
Rubick
59% · 166 games
TuskJuju
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed35:9
Direborn 35%Mentality Monster 65%
The model gave 65% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Direborn in 28:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinydb-
54% · 340 games50% · 77 games
LunaCije
Luna
Night Stalker
Night StalkerwoMy
48% · 44 games54% · 111 games
Dawnbreakeregxrdemxn
Dawnbreaker
Rubick
RubickPlayHard
50% · 202 games46% · 196 games
Storm SpiritGaN-
Storm Spirit
47% · 120 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
49% · 82 games
SilencerJuju
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteMentality Monster · 76%
Series resultDireborn 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2