Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 2:1series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Carstensz Esportsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GLYPH
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 11 games
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
Kezsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 5 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 5 games
Largooften banned
zeal · 5 games
Rubick
Jhocam · 5 games
Carstensz Esports
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 4 games
Hoodwink
ace12 · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
ace12 · 2 games
Weaveroften banned
Dreamocel · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
seimei · 1 game
Dark Willow
ace12 · 1 game
Doomoften banned
seimei · 1 game
Kezoften banned
Dreamocel · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
600 picks · 367 bans
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
487 picks · 262 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
403 picks · 553 bans
Puck
338 picks · 915 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 846 bans
Tusk
325 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Carstensz Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GLYPH 87%Carstensz Esports 13%
The model gave 87% on GLYPH — the game was taken by Carstensz Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
GLYPH 87%Carstensz Esports 13%
The model gave 87% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH.
Game 3prediction correct23:16
GLYPH 72%Carstensz Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 43:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerJaCkky
NecrophosDreamocel
Beastmasterzeal
Axeseimei
ViperEmo
Clockwerkace12
Keeper of the LightJhocam
BaneNARMAN
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 87%
Series resultGLYPH 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3