PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBOBlind Owl Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Essencewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blind Owl Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Team Essence
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
411 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
411 picks · 319 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 825 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 877 bans
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 510 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 485 bans
Dragon Knight
301 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Blind Owl Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Blind Owl Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Blind Owl Esports 63%Team Essence 37%
The model gave 63% on Blind Owl Esports — the game was taken by Blind Owl Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Blind Owl Esports 63%Team Essence 37%
The model gave 63% on Blind Owl Esports — the game was taken by Team Essence.
Game 3prediction missed
Blind Owl Esports 63%Team Essence 37%
The model gave 63% on Blind Owl Esports — the game was taken by Team Essence.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlind Owl Esports · 63%
Series resultTeam Essence 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3