PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBOBlind Owl Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BBruv123win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blind Owl Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Bruv123
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 316 bans
Hoodwink
414 picks · 441 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 827 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 884 bans
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 512 bans
Clockwerk
349 picks · 485 bans
Dragon Knight
305 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Blind Owl Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Bruv123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Blind Owl Esports 39%Bruv123 61%
The model gave 61% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Blind Owl Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Blind Owl Esports 39%Bruv123 61%
The model gave 61% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Game 3prediction correct
Blind Owl Esports 39%Bruv123 61%
The model gave 61% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Model check result
Model favoriteBruv123 · 61%
Series resultBruv123 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3