PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCCNNAloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gods of Hellwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CNNA
No games played over 6 months.
Gods of Hell
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 315 bans
Hoodwink
416 picks · 441 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 828 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 885 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 515 bans
Clockwerk
350 picks · 484 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 537 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% CNNA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% CNNA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
CNNA 59%Gods of Hell 41%
The model gave 59% on CNNA — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Game 2prediction missed
CNNA 59%Gods of Hell 41%
The model gave 59% on CNNA — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Model check result
Model favoriteCNNA · 59%
Series resultGods of Hell 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2