PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionVVrooomy.iowin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SXStorm X Zone51loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vrooomy.io
No games played over 6 months.
Storm X Zone51
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
417 picks · 439 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 824 bans
Tiny
392 picks · 883 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 514 bans
Clockwerk
350 picks · 484 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Vrooomy.io
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Vrooomy.io
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:17
Vrooomy.io 52%Storm X Zone51 48%
The model gave 52% on Vrooomy.io — the game was taken by Storm X Zone51 in 21:21.
Game 2prediction correct30:15
Vrooomy.io 52%Storm X Zone51 48%
The model gave 52% on Vrooomy.io — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io in 31:46.
Game 3prediction correct36:10
Vrooomy.io 52%Storm X Zone51 48%
The model gave 52% on Vrooomy.io — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io in 35:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteVrooomy.io · 52%
Series resultVrooomy.io 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3