PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionVVrooomy.iowin 1:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hydraloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vrooomy.io
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
hina · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
Rubick
xsvampire · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
JANTER · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
JANTER · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
417 picks · 439 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 824 bans
Tiny
392 picks · 885 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 514 bans
Clockwerk
350 picks · 486 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Vrooomy.io
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Vrooomy.io 39%Hydra 61%
The model gave 61% on Hydra — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 61%
Series resultVrooomy.io 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1