PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionSXStorm X Zone51win 1:0
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Storm X Zone51
No games played over 6 months.
Natus Vincere Junior
Lionsignature
Riddys · 29 games
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 22 games
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 20 games
Batridersignature
Daze · 19 games
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
Rubick
Daze · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
417 picks · 439 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 824 bans
Tiny
392 picks · 885 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 514 bans
Clockwerk
350 picks · 486 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Storm X Zone51 16%Natus Vincere Junior 84%
The model gave 84% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Storm X Zone51.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 84%
Series resultStorm X Zone51 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1