PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSPSF Pos 4loss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOBlind Owl Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SF Pos 4
No games played over 6 months.
Blind Owl Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
420 picks · 309 bans
Hoodwink
416 picks · 437 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 824 bans
Tiny
390 picks · 888 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 514 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 714 bans
Clockwerk
351 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 537 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% SF Pos 4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% SF Pos 4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
SF Pos 4 62%Blind Owl Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on SF Pos 4 — the game was taken by Blind Owl Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
SF Pos 4 62%Blind Owl Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on SF Pos 4 — the game was taken by Blind Owl Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteSF Pos 4 · 62%
Series resultBlind Owl Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2