PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBruv123win 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YEYiwei Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bruv123
No games played over 6 months.
Yiwei Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
420 picks · 309 bans
Hoodwink
416 picks · 437 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 823 bans
Tiny
390 picks · 886 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 513 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 712 bans
Clockwerk
351 picks · 482 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 535 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Bruv123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Bruv123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Bruv123 59%Yiwei Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Game 2prediction correct
Bruv123 59%Yiwei Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Model check result
Model favoriteBruv123 · 59%
Series resultBruv123 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2