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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Night Pulsewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 24 games
58%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 22 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
43%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
35%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
OneJey · 18 games
50%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
65%

Night Pulse

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
47%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 16 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Kami · 15 games
53%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 14 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 13 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
JANTER · 13 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
419 picks · 309 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
414 picks · 438 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
393 picks · 823 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
391 picks · 888 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
362 picks · 712 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
361 picks · 512 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 483 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 532 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total52% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:24
HULIGANI 49%Night Pulse 51%
The model gave 51% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 25:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razorv1olent-
48% · 109 games52% · 73 games
Shadow FiendV-Tune
Shadow Fiend
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
48% · 36 games40% · 180 games
BeastmasterKami
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMalik
57% · 193 games53% · 233 games
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickHellscream
48% · 283 games54% · 298 games
HoodwinkJANTER
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
47% · 182 games63% · 19 games
OmniknightHduo
Omniknight
Game 2prediction missed22:21
HULIGANI 45%Night Pulse 55%
The model gave 55% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 34:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenv1olent-
52% · 105 games52% · 202 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Windranger
WindrangerMirage
47% · 165 games45% · 44 games
LycanKami
Lycan
Pangolier
PangolierMalik
52% · 305 games49% · 124 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetHellscream
49% · 161 game52% · 264 games
HoodwinkJANTER
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
51% · 159 games49% · 261 game
SvenHduo
Sven
Game 3prediction correct16:40
HULIGANI 46%Night Pulse 54%
The model gave 54% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 41:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenv1olent-
55% · 113 games57% · 89 games
UrsaV-Tune
Ursa
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetHellscream
52% · 154 games55% · 151 game
DoomKami
Doom
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMirage
44% · 316 games43% · 187 games
TimbersawWorick
Timbersaw
Slardar
SlardarMalik
43% · 119 games52% · 278 games
RubickJANTER
Rubick
Weaver
WeaverPanto
52% · 259 games49% · 256 games
PhoenixHduo
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 52%
Series resultNight Pulse 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3