CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
DMSloss 1:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Hryvniawin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DMS
Jakiro
aik · 5 games
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 4 games
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
mellojul · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 3 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
aik · 2 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
418 picks · 306 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 436 bans
Tiny
393 picks · 892 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 712 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 517 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 484 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% DMS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:21
DMS 75%Team Hryvnia 25%
The model gave 75% on DMS — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 28:35.
Game 2prediction correct42:26
DMS 75%Team Hryvnia 25%
The model gave 75% on DMS — the game was taken by DMS in 44:47.
Game 3prediction missed25:30
DMS 75%Team Hryvnia 25%
The model gave 75% on DMS — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 42:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteDMS · 75%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3