CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dandelionsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 23 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 22 games
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 18 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
OneJey · 18 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
417 picks · 308 bans
Hoodwink
410 picks · 433 bans
Tiny
395 picks · 893 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 821 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 522 bans
Phoenix
360 picks · 712 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 530 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total64% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:8
HULIGANI 64%Dandelions 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 29:56.
Game 2prediction correct30:16
HULIGANI 64%Dandelions 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 26:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 64%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2